Liverpool will be represented by Luis Diaz and Alexis Mac Allister in the 2024 Copa America final. One will become the Reds’ fourth CONMEBOL champion, with the latter viewed as the likelier.

No matter the result of the 2024 Copa America final in Miami later today, Liverpool will have a player on the winning side. Reigning World Cup champions Argentina will be vying for their 16th title in the competition, aiming to surpass Uruguay. They will face Colombia, which seeks its second victory since lifting the trophy in 2001.

The match will see Alexis Mac Allister go up against Luis Diaz. The stakes might be slightly higher for Diaz, as Mac Allister already has a World Cup medal in his collection.

Regardless of who wins, Liverpool has a history of Copa America champions. Luis Suarez was the first, with Uruguay defeating Paraguay 3-0 in 2011. Eight years later, a Brazil team featuring Alisson Becker and Roberto Firmino won against Peru 3-1 in the final. Now, which current Red will be the next to join the CONMEBOL honors board?

The bookmakers have made Argentina the favorites, and the highly-regarded Opta supercomputer concurs. It has supported Argentina since before the tournament began and continues to do so.

Currently, the verdict is a 50.9 percent chance of an Argentina win in 90 minutes, with Colombia given a 25.4 percent chance. With the possibility of extra time and penalties, Mac Allister’s team has a 63.0 percent chance of lifting the trophy by any means necessary.

Argentina also holds a psychological advantage with a significant lead in head-to-head history, boasting 25 wins and just nine losses in 42 encounters. Over the past 15 years, it’s been even more one-sided, with Argentina securing seven victories and suffering only one defeat.

On a personal level, Diaz is the more experienced of the Liverpool duo in this fixture. Although he was an unused substitute in Colombia’s last win over Argentina in 2019, he has faced Argentina four times. Diaz also scored in the 2021 Copa America semi-final, though his team eventually lost on penalties. Mac Allister was not involved in that tournament, and tonight’s match will be his first appearance against Colombia.

No matter the outcome, it promises to be a worthy final. Diaz’s side is unbeaten in its last 28 matches, a record for Colombia. While Argentina lost to Uruguay last November, with Darwin Nunez scoring one of the goals, it was their only defeat since the opening match of their successful World Cup campaign in Qatar in 2022.

The 2024 Copa America final should be close. Colombia has conceded 0.6 fewer non-penalty expected goals in the tournament, but Argentina holds a 3.9 advantage in the same metric in attack. This edge could help Mac Allister triumph over Diaz.